Wednesday, October 15, 2008

It's us now

More proof of the tightening race in Georgia, as we're the story now. Let's face it, seven pick-ups in the U.S. Senate seem very likely for Democrats now, and an eighth can be had in Minnesota if Al Franken can knock off Norm Coleman. The ninth seat - and 60th vote - can be found in Georgia.

We're under three weeks now, and Saxby Chambliss hasn't gone negative yet, his message is disoriented, he's losing his base and his ads are awful. Jim Martin, by contrast, has a crisp and on-point mesage, the political benefit of opposing the bailout and solid ads which are connecting with independent voters.

It'll be close. I still think advantage Chambliss, but it's going to be much closer than I ever thought.


Blogger Rich said...

Only trouble with that, enjoyable though it would be, is that it leaves the Dems once again beholden to Joe Lieberman. It also will ratchet up the pressure from the other side on Lieberman to finally just take off the sheep's clothing and go sit with the wolves.

7:10 PM  
Blogger Mike-El said...

Martin's chances hinge on Republican enthusiasm or, more precisely, lack of it. If the meta-narrative of the campaign in the next couple of weeks solidifies into "Forget's over" and the GOP base isn't motivated to turn out, it could be a big, big night for down-ticket Dems all over the country. That's why McCain's "re-boot" earlier this week was nothing more than a glorified pep rally.

7:10 PM  

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