Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Election Night Live Blog

7:40 p.m. - Ah, yes ... a Missions Commitee meeting running a bit long, but no problem. We're ready to go now and eagerly awaiting results from all over the state. Well, as eagerly as one can anticipate clicking 'update' repeatedly on their laptop. Still, the beverage of choice tonight is Dixe Beer, so we're raring to go.

7:47 p.m. - Unrelated, can I say again how absolutely awesome it was that Josh Hamilton hit 28 home runs in one round of the Home Run Derby last night?

7:49 p.m. - Oooooo ... The Simpsons Movie is on at 8 p.m. on one of the HBOs. That could really hinder up-to-the-minute blogging.

7:54 p.m. - It's early, but Paul Broun is putting big advantages in early reporting precincts in the Northeast Georgia counties which, if they hold percentage-wide, could spell a long night for Barry Fleming. He'll need Augusta-Richmond County and Columbia County to come through for him big.

8:02 p.m. - Sweet! I am absolutely one of the four votes in Precinct 6D that were cast for Josh Lanier. Josh, I'm in Statesboro on Saturday, and you totally owe me a beer.

8:10 p.m. - It's very early, but Rand Knight is in dead last right now, and he's got embarassing numbers coming in from the rural areas. I'm trying to think of where he'd have a base of support, but I just don't know.

8:27 p.m. - Again, still early, but with 19 percent reporting, Paul Broun has a commanding lead ... and that includes leads in both Columbia County (eight of 47 precincts reporting) and Augusta-Richmond County (six of 34 precincts reporting). Nothing from Oconee County in, where Broun should run up huge margins.

8:32 p.m. - This coroner's race should be interesting. Sonny Wilson had comfortable margins early, but Bobby Tribble posted big wins in 2A and 2B and is up 824-789.

8:37 p.m. - I've lost control of the remote control, and we're on Lifetime now, which is disappointing. Still, I've now learned that there is a Lifetime Original Movie coming out that is the fourth installment of the Poison Ivy series.

8:45 p.m. - Bill Cowsert is in control of the primary, but Tommy Malcom is running just a shade behind him in Oconee County with more than half of their precincts reporting. Oh, and Broun is embarassing Fleming. He's expanded his lead in Columbia County. I mean, you don't want to say it's over, but ...

8:57 p.m. - In Oconee County, with eight precincts reporting out of 15, Sarah Bell is only nine votes behind Melvin Davis in the race for comission chair.

9:00 p.m. - Rand Knight - he of the uber-endorsements - is in last place with 23 percent reporting. Wow. Absolutely wow. Maybe he should have run for State House.

9:03 p.m. - Only 5C and 6C are out in Athens-Clarke County, and Wilson is up by 202 votes, and then we want for absentee ballots. Wilson has run strong in District Six, while Tribble has taken two of three precincts in District Five.

9:17 p.m. - Well, I appear to be off on my Dale Cardwell prediction, and it looks like we've got the to-be expected runoff between Jim Martin and Vernon Jones, and with all 199 precincts out in DeKalb County, the latter should have the lead going into the runoff. The only drama now is if Knight finishes in last place.

9:20 p.m. - Only two precincts out in Oconee County, and it appears that Davis will win re-election. He's got a slim 100-vote lead right now, so Bell would need to win huge, which doesn't seem likely.

9:28 p.m. - Sonny Wilson takes the coroner seat from Bobby Tribble, winning 2,405 to 2,180. In Oconee County, absentees and one precinct are out and Bell has pulled within 90 votes. It's a tough lead to overcome, but she's giving Davis all he can handle.

9:37 p.m. - Call me crazy, but what are the odds of Jones avoiding a runoff? He just took the lead from Martin, and there are no results yet from DeKalb County or Atlanta-Fulton County. It's not out of the realm of possibility for him to put up big wins there.

9:43 p.m. - OK, scratch that. Martin's got a slight lead in Atlanta-Fulton County with half of the precincts reporting.

9:47 p.m. - If we should take anything away from this night, it's that we should never - never ever - bet against Paul Broun. He is beating the ever-loving tar out of Barry Fleming. It's a 72-to-24 split right now, and that includes an 1,800-vote lead in Columbia County.

9:54 p.m. - Man oh man! Bell just posted a 100-vote win in the final precinct and is six votes behind Davis with just absentees and provisionals out. I smell a recount ...

9:57 p.m. - Davis takes the absentees and regains a 100-vote lead. I'm not sure what the protocol is for local recounts, but that's probably enough for him to hold on to the seat.

10:06 p.m. - If it wasn't for Athens-Clarke County, Bill Cowsert might be in a tight race with Tommy Malcom. The latter has run pretty strong in Oconee County and Walton County.

10:43 p.m. - It's slow going in DeKalb County, and Jones has opened up a 20,000-vote lead (six percent). There are no precincts reporting - still - and I'm still curious to see what happens. Logic would dictate that he should win comfortably there, thus padding his lead. The caveat, of course, is that it's probably the bulk of the remaining votes that are still out there. Again, we're probably headed for a runoff, but can Jones win big enough to escape it?

10:48 p.m. - OK ... I'm just quitting on this picking stuff. Martin's running strong in DeKalb County, so we're heading to a runoff.


Blogger paveplanet said...

Rand Knight - except in Clarke County where our boy, Josh is sitting in the cellar.

8:18 PM  
Blogger paveplanet said...

Interesting early results from Oconee County where Bell has a slight lead after three prcts reporting.

8:52 PM  
Blogger paveplanet said...

With only 4 precincts remaining in Oconee, Melvin is beginning to pull ahead. Looks like he is going to win another term, but most of the other incumbents aren't looking good.

9:10 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

an embarrassment for D5 - Sonny is definitely the guy they should have been voting for; Tribble isn't a Democrat or even a resident

9:13 PM  
Blogger paveplanet said...

A little harsh - don't you think. It is just a coroner after all. Do we even need this position anymore?

9:15 PM  
Blogger McD said...

I'm one of 6 in my district that voted for Lanier. You should get a beer for my vote, too.

9:35 PM  
Blogger paveplanet said...

I am one of three in my district. Perhaps we need an enlighten Josh party.

9:39 PM  
Blogger paveplanet said...

JMAC- You got to check out what just turned in Oconee County. Bell took the Civic Center precinct by 100 votes and now is within 6 votes with the absentee remaining.

9:53 PM  
Anonymous Alison said...

Looks like Melvin pulled it out with absentees...

10:04 PM  
Anonymous Alison said...

I think a recount is required when it is one percent or less...

10:05 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wow, Wesly Nash (Madison County Chairman) got a good spanking!!!

10:26 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Looks like we're stuck with that embarrassment Paul Broun for 2 more yrs.

10:30 PM  
Blogger Oconee Democrat said...

everyone I wanted in school board election lost in oconee. We now have Brian Kemp's sister in law on the boe

10:39 PM  
Blogger hillary said...

I managed to vote for one winner this time around, but she was an incumbent, so I don't think it really counts...

9:26 AM  
Blogger Josh Lanier said...

Beers are on me for Jmac, paveplanet and mcd. Thanks for taking a principled stand.

3:34 PM  

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