Monday, July 14, 2008

Pre-Election Day picks

The primary election is only a day away, so I'm curious to hear who my loyal readers are voting for. Let me know in the comments.

Tomorrow, I'll be casting ballots for ...

Josh Lanier (U.S. Senate)
Patricia Barron (Athens-Clarke County Chief Magistrate)
Sonny Wilson (Athens-Clarke County Coroner)
Jim Powell (Public Service Commission)

Likewise, I'm going to play the prediction game and say ...

- Paul Broun wins the GOP nomination for the 10th Congressional District

- Bill Cowsert racks up big totals in Athens-Clarke County and Walton County to hold off Oconee County Board of Education member Tommy Malcom in the GOP primary for the District 46 Georgia State Senate seat

- Down South, John Barrow survives his primary challenge from Regina Thomas and wins the Democratic primary for the 12th Congressional District

- I'm thinking we're headed for a Vernon Jones/Dale Cardwell runoff tomorrow ... I'm probably an outlyer on that, but name recognition might help out the latter.

- And I'll really be an outlyer here ... but I'm calling an upset for Sarah Bell over Melvin Davis in the Oconee County Commission Chair race.

11 Comments:

Blogger Mike-El said...

Put me down for Jim Martin...but then ditto for the rest of your ballot.

Broun and Cowsert roll up.

John Barrah lives to "approve of them Dawgs" again this fall.

10:44 AM  
Blogger paveplanet said...

I like Coleman for Magistrate Judge. Fortunately, I don't have a lot of dealings with Judge Barron, but I have not been overly impressed when I have dealt with her.

I voted for Lanier, why I am not sure other than he was the only one left standing when I discounted the rest of them.

There is something that rubs me the wrong way concerning the zeal that Sonny is going after this position - but I can't defend Tribble either.

I agree with the picks for Broun, Barrow, and Cowsert. I want to agree with the Bell pick, but I just don't see the Oconee County machine giving up their stranglehold yet - though it is coming.

11:04 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Vote for Powell if you like, but it won't count. He done been kicked off the ballot.

12:55 PM  
Blogger Jmac said...

Powell's on the ballot. His residency challenge was dismissed.

12:59 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I already voted.

Martin for Senate
Coleman for Magistrate (even though Barron will soundly defeat him) mostly to rock the boat.
I didn't vote in the coroner's race. Some of the things being said about Bobby Tribble are probably true, but I honestly don't care. This elected position is an archaic throwback. It's like voting for dogcatcher.
I guess I voted for Powell, I don't quite remember

Predictions:
I think Broun wins handily

I think that Cowsert sews up ACC and Walton counties, AND Oconee County. Malcom seems like a nice guy, but in an election like this you have to articulate a reason why the incumbent should be fired, and Tommy hasn't done that. Mostly because from a republican viewpoint, there are no reasons to get rid of Cowsert.

I stand by Martin/Jones in the Runoff. It's going to be a low-turnout day. I think the three amigos talk of grassroots organization, GOTV efforts, etc. are not based in reality. It's going to be about name recognition, ergo Matin and Jones.

And I don't see Melvin Davis going anywhere.

-WMO

1:31 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And before anyone thinks I being too snarky, I don't mean to imply that either Sonny Williams or Bobby Tribble will perform the functions of their office well, I just don't see any reason in this modern georgia to have this be an elected position.

-wmo

1:33 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Broun one might be interesting. He won last time because Athens Dems voted for him. That won't be happening this time, so the decision will be made by Reps only. Not sure how he stands w/ rank and file Reps (with me not being one :-) )

2:14 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

FYI, Karen Handel did boot Powell off the ballot.

Blake Aued

3:17 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And he (Powell) evidently has a stay, and is back on. Probably wno't be settled til after the election.

4:58 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It may be true that it makes no sense to have the Coroner as an elected official and maybe it also makes no sense that it's a partisan election but, it is what it is and folks should vote for the best qualified candidate.

It's also quite true that the Board of Elections had no choice in ruling that Tribble was eligible to run after the Republican-dominated General Assembly relaxed the residency rules to favor one of their guys for a PSC race. They had to hold their noses and rule Tribble eligible based on the latest legislation - otherwise, he probably would not even be in the race.

So, it's on the ballot and Sonny Wilson is far and away the better man for the job. Sonny has had to campaign rather aggressively because nobody pays any attention to this race otherwise. We're lucky to have somebody of Sonny's quality and character willing to do this job.

Al

1:17 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I would imagine Coroners have to hold their noses a lot.

Reggie

6:42 PM  

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